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Neighborhood · Germantown, MD

Black Hill Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 6,880 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.3/10 · range 6.3–6.3

Black Hill is a one-tract neighborhood of Germantown, MD, population 6,880. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.3/10, in the Elevated tier. Against a Germantown baseline of 30.1%, 70% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The severe-burden share is 29%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 2.3/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.1/10. Among the 12 mapped neighborhoods of Germantown, it ranks #9 by risk, the lower third. At 26% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.

Rent takes 20% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Average gross rent runs $2,003, close to the Germantown average.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 6.3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Black Hill vs Germantown How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
69.9% +132%
Germantown: 30.1%
Average gross rent
$2,003 -2%
Germantown: $2,040
Average HH income
$122,361 +9%
Germantown: $112,149
Poverty rate
9.1% +7%
Germantown: 8.5%
Renter share
26.3% -20%
Germantown: 32.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Black Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.3–6.3

Why Black Hill scores 6.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Rent control risk
70% of income on rent · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
26% renter households · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
9.1% below poverty line · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Risk score comparison

Black Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Black Hill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.3Black HillNeighborhood6.3Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Black Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24031700308 6.3 6,880 70% $2,003
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 47

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 32%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 55%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 78%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 48%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Black Hill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Black Hill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Black Hill?

Black Hill scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Black Hill compare to Germantown overall?

Black Hill scores 0.0 points higher than Germantown overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 70% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $2,003 vs $2,040.
Q3

What is the average rent in Black Hill?

Average gross rent in Black Hill is $2,003/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Black Hill residents are renters?

26% of Black Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Germantown). The neighborhood has 6,880 residents.
Q5

Is Black Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Black Hill sits in the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Black Hill for landlords?

Black Hill carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Germantown as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Black Hill?

Black Hill has 6,889 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (31.2%), Hispanic / Latino (25.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (22.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Black Hill

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Germantown

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Black Hill.

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