Eviction Risk in Neelsville , Germantown
Tract 24031700313 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 4,121 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 24031700313 sits in the Neelsville neighborhood of Germantown, Maryland. It has a population of 4,121 and an eviction-risk score of 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). 40% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 7% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,115/month against a median household income of $103,750 — roughly 24% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
Black-Asian Neighborhood — 4,166 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 6%
- White (non-Hispanic) 24.1%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 38.7%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 26.4%
- Other / Multiracial 4.7%
How the 6.6/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 9.8 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 5.7 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 8.0 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 8.2 | Germantown (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 6.4 | Germantown (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 5.0 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 7.1 | Germantown (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 5.5 | Germantown (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 1.5 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 4.1 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.8%Food insecurity
- 8.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.4%Transit barriers
- 7.8%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 19.8%Any disability
About tract 24031700313
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700313?
Census tract 24031700313 in the Neelsville neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 24031700313?
Median gross rent is $2,115/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700313?
6.0% of residents in tract 24031700313 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,121.
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700313?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 51th, minority 83th, housing 18th.
Is tract 24031700313 considered part of Neelsville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700313 fall within Neelsville (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
What share of households in tract 24031700313 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.