Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally
Neelsville Eviction Risk: Lower , Germantown
Tract 24031700313 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 4,121 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 24031700313 belongs to the Neelsville area of Germantown, Maryland. It is home to 4,121 residents and scores 6.6/10, an elevated reading for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #9,418 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 40% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,115 monthly, set against $103,750 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 54% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 33%
Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,523
Renter share54.3%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$103,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
46
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Germantown and the region
Centroid at 39.1947, -77.2571 · click any tract to drill in
Why Neelsville scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Germantown
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,115 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Germantown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Germantown
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Germantown
5.5
How Neelsville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.8%Food insecurity
- 8.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.4%Transit barriers
- 7.8%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 19.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Neelsville
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Germantown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Black and Asian and ranks around the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031700313
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700313?
Census tract 24031700313 in the Neelsville neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031700313?
Median gross rent is $2,115/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700313?
6.0% of residents in tract 24031700313 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,121.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700313?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 51th, minority 83th, housing 18th.
Q5
Is tract 24031700313 considered part of Neelsville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700313 fall within Neelsville (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031700313 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031700313 compare to Germantown overall?
Tract 24031700313 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Germantown at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Germantown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Germantown
Top eight tracts in Germantown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
The Colony
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Brandermill
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Kings Square
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
North Germantown
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Germantown Park
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Brandermill
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
North Germantown
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Williamsburg Square
3.4
/ 10 · Low
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