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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Blackrock Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Germantown

Tract 24031700611 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 5,185 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 24031700611 sits in the Blackrock Hills area of Germantown eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. Population here is 5,185. 96% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Montgomery County average of 46.7%.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 0% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,732
Renter share8.7%
SVI overall0.13
Poverty rate4.2%
Median income$215,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Blackrock Hills
Very High
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 17 tracts In Germantown
Low
Within county
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#147 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Low
Within state
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#676 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Germantown and the region

Centroid at 39.1577, -77.3200 · click any tract to drill in

Why Blackrock Hills scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Germantown
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.2% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$3,050 rent vs county FMR
8.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Germantown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Germantown
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Germantown
5.5

How Blackrock Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Blackrock Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.5This tracttract 7006116.3Germantownparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Blackrock Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Blackrock Hills

At $3,050 a month, rents run 50% over what the rest of Germantown commands. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.

Severe burden reaches 32%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The voucher gap is 31.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.2/10.

Food insecurity runs 9.3% against 17.8% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.2/10.

Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $215,000, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031700611

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700611?

Census tract 24031700611 in the Blackrock Hills neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24031700611?

Median gross rent is $3,050/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 96% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700611?

4.2% of residents in tract 24031700611 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,185.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700611?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 33th, minority 82th, housing 10th.
Q5

Is tract 24031700611 considered part of Blackrock Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700611 fall within Blackrock Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24031700611 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24031700611 compare to Germantown overall?

Tract 24031700611 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Germantown at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Germantown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Germantown

Top eight tracts in Germantown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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