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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Blackrock Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Germantown

Tract 24031700613 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 6,468 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

24031700613 is a census tract in the Blackrock Hills area of Germantown, MD. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,468. Cost burden runs 30% here against 46.7% across Montgomery County.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 23% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units2,065
Renter share33.3%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$164,821

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Blackrock Hills
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#17 of 17 tracts In Germantown
Very Low
Within county
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#150 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Low
Within state
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#700 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Germantown and the region

Centroid at 39.1410, -77.2980 · click any tract to drill in

Why Blackrock Hills scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Germantown
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,339 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Germantown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Germantown
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Germantown
5.5

How Blackrock Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Blackrock Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 7006136.3Germantownparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Blackrock Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Blackrock Hills

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.2/10.

Disability prevalence runs 19.0% against 31.5% nationally. Average gross rent is $2,339, 15% above the Germantown average.

Severe burden reaches 8%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Food insecurity runs 10.5% against 17.8% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $164,821, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031700613

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700613?

Census tract 24031700613 in the Blackrock Hills neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24031700613?

Median gross rent is $2,339/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700613?

2.5% of residents in tract 24031700613 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,468.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700613?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 51th, minority 74th, housing 36th.
Q5

Is tract 24031700613 considered part of Blackrock Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700613 fall within Blackrock Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24031700613 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24031700613 compare to Germantown overall?

Tract 24031700613 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Germantown at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Germantown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Germantown

Top eight tracts in Germantown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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