Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #6,676 of 84,120 nationally
Walnut Hill Eviction Risk: High , Gaithersburg
Tract 24031700728 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 1,797 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 24031700728 sits in the Walnut Hill area of Gaithersburg eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.2/10. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
8.2
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units846
Renter share74.1%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate17.4%
Median income$99,444
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gaithersburg and the region
Centroid at 39.1272, -77.1762 · click any tract to drill in
Why Walnut Hill scores 8.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gaithersburg
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
17.4% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$2,111 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gaithersburg
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gaithersburg
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gaithersburg
5.9
How Walnut Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.0%Housing insecurity
- 7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.6%Food insecurity
- 12.1%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 9.8%No health insurance
- 13.8%Frequent mental distress
- 24.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Walnut Hill
It sits 2.2 points above the Montgomery County average of 6.0. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.
This is renter territory: 74% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.2/10. That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.7 points hotter.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Average gross rent is $2,111, close to the Gaithersburg average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $99,444.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031700728
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700728?
Census tract 24031700728 in the Walnut Hill neighborhood scores 8.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031700728?
Median gross rent is $2,111/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700728?
17.4% of residents in tract 24031700728 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,797.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700728?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 25th, minority 73th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 24031700728 considered part of Walnut Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700728 fall within Walnut Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031700728 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031700728 compare to Gaithersburg overall?
Tract 24031700728 scores 8.2/10, higher than the parent city of Gaithersburg at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gaithersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gaithersburg
Top eight tracts in Gaithersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
Metropolitan Grove
8.3
/ 10 · High
Tract · MD
Oakmont Manor
8.3
/ 10 · High
Tract · MD
Rosemont
8.3
/ 10 · High
Tract · MD
Orchard Place
8.3
/ 10 · High
Tract · MD
Oakmont Manor
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · MD
Pleasant Run
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · MD
Rosemont
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · MD
Metropolitan Grove
8
/ 10 · High
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