Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
Walnut Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gaithersburg
Tract 24031700728 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 1,797 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
The Walnut Hill area of Gaithersburg is where census tract 24031700728 sits, home to 1,797 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 7.4/10. On the national scale it ranks #1,595 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,111 a month against an average household income of $99,444 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 74% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units846
Renter share74.1%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate17.4%
Median income$99,444
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
73
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Gaithersburg and the region
Centroid at 39.1272, -77.1762 · click any tract to drill in
Why Walnut Hill scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Gaithersburg
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
17.4% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$2,111 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gaithersburg
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gaithersburg
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gaithersburg
5.9
How Walnut Hill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 31%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 85%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.0%Housing insecurity
- 7.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.6%Food insecurity
- 12.1%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 9.8%No health insurance
- 13.8%Frequent mental distress
- 24.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Walnut Hill
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gaithersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031700728
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700728?
Census tract 24031700728 in the Walnut Hill neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031700728?
Median gross rent is $2,111/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700728?
17.4% of residents in tract 24031700728 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,797.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700728?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 25th, minority 73th, housing 85th.
Q5
Is tract 24031700728 considered part of Walnut Hill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700728 fall within Walnut Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031700728 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031700728 compare to Gaithersburg overall?
Tract 24031700728 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Gaithersburg at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gaithersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Gaithersburg
Top eight tracts in Gaithersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
Rosemont
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Metropolitan Grove
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Oakmont Manor
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Orchard Place
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Oakmont Manor
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Pleasant Run
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Rosemont
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Metropolitan Grove
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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