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Neighborhood · Gaithersburg, MD

Walnut Hill Eviction Risk: High

1 census tracts · pop 1,797 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.2/10 · range 8.2–8.2

Walnut Hill maps to a single census tract in Gaithersburg, MD and houses 1,797 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 8.2/10, placing it in the High tier. 46% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, markedly above the Gaithersburg rate of 29.5%.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10. This is a renter market: 74% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Severe burden reaches 22%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7/10. That places it #3 of 15 neighborhoods in Gaithersburg.

For a like-for-like read, Pleasant Run and Oakmont Manor score within a fraction of it. Average gross rent runs $2,111, close to the Gaithersburg average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $99,444.

One tract means one number: 8.2/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
8.2
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
Walnut Hill vs Gaithersburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.3% +57%
Gaithersburg: 29.5%
Average gross rent
$2,111 +3%
Gaithersburg: $2,058
Average HH income
$99,444 -7%
Gaithersburg: $107,496
Poverty rate
17.4% +97%
Gaithersburg: 8.8%
Renter share
74.1% +51%
Gaithersburg: 49.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Walnut Hill and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 8.2–8.2

Why Walnut Hill scores 8.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
74% renter households · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Economic stress
17.4% below poverty line · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–4.1 across tracts
4.1
Risk score comparison

Walnut Hill vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Walnut Hill score vs. parent city, state, U.S.8.2Walnut HillNeighborhood6.9Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Walnut Hill

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24031700728 8.2 1,797 46% $2,111
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 53

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 31%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 25%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 73%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 85%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Walnut Hill

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Walnut Hill

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Walnut Hill?

Walnut Hill scores 8.2/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Walnut Hill compare to Gaithersburg overall?

Walnut Hill scores 1.3 points higher than Gaithersburg overall (6.9/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $2,111 vs $2,058.
Q3

What is the average rent in Walnut Hill?

Average gross rent in Walnut Hill is $2,111/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Walnut Hill residents are renters?

74% of Walnut Hill households are renter-occupied (vs 49% in Gaithersburg). The neighborhood has 1,797 residents.
Q5

Is Walnut Hill a high social-vulnerability area?

Walnut Hill sits in the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Walnut Hill for landlords?

Walnut Hill carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Gaithersburg as a whole (6.9/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Walnut Hill?

Walnut Hill has 2,041 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (38.9%), Hispanic / Latino (24.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (22.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Walnut Hill

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Gaithersburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Walnut Hill.

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