Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
Germantown Park Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 24031700815 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 8,256 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 24031700815 covers part of the Germantown Park area of Germantown, MD, and scores 7.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 8,256 residents. 51% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units2,570
Renter share16.3%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate13.4%
Median income$106,404
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
75
th percentile
High
Within state
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Germantown and the region
Centroid at 39.1616, -77.2673 · click any tract to drill in
Why Germantown Park scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Germantown
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
13.4% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$2,296 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Germantown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Germantown
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Germantown
5.5
How Germantown Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Germantown Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.9%Housing insecurity
- 9.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.1%Food insecurity
- 13.8%SNAP enrollment
- 9.2%Transit barriers
- 13.1%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 25.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Germantown Park
Against Montgomery County at 46.7%, 67% of renters here are cost-burdened. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.2/10. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8/10.
Against the Montgomery County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points. Average gross rent is $2,296, 13% above the Germantown average. Nationally it ranks #11,988 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $106,404.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031700815
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700815?
Census tract 24031700815 in the Germantown Park neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031700815?
Median gross rent is $2,296/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700815?
13.4% of residents in tract 24031700815 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,256.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700815?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 87th, minority 83th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 24031700815 considered part of Germantown Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700815 fall within Germantown Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031700815 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031700815 compare to Germantown overall?
Tract 24031700815 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Germantown at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Germantown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Germantown
Top eight tracts in Germantown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
The Colony
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · MD
Brandermill
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · MD
North Germantown
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · MD
Kings Square
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Brandermill
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Williamsburg Square
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Seneca Park
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
North Germantown
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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