Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally
Germantown Park Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 24031700815 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 8,256 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 7.2/10, tract 24031700815 in Germantown Park in Germantown ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 8,256 residents. On the national scale it ranks #2,768 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 67% of renter households, a severe level, and 51% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,296 monthly, set against $106,404 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 16% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units2,570
Renter share16.3%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate13.4%
Median income$106,404
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Germantown and the region
Centroid at 39.1616, -77.2673 · click any tract to drill in
Why Germantown Park scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Germantown
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
13.4% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$2,296 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Germantown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Germantown
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Germantown
5.5
How Germantown Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Germantown Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.9%Housing insecurity
- 9.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.1%Food insecurity
- 13.8%SNAP enrollment
- 9.2%Transit barriers
- 13.1%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 25.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Germantown Park
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Germantown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 70th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 16.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031700815
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700815?
Census tract 24031700815 in the Germantown Park neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031700815?
Median gross rent is $2,296/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700815?
13.4% of residents in tract 24031700815 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,256.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700815?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 87th, minority 83th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 24031700815 considered part of Germantown Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700815 fall within Germantown Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031700815 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031700815 compare to Germantown overall?
Tract 24031700815 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Germantown at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Germantown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Germantown
Top eight tracts in Germantown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
The Colony
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Brandermill
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Kings Square
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
North Germantown
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Brandermill
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Williamsburg Square
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
North Germantown
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Seneca Park
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Related