Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally
Germantown Park Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 24031700819 ·
Montgomery County, MD · pop 6,336 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 6.2/10, tract 24031700819 in the Germantown Park area of Germantown, MD reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,336 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%Stable renters 7%Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units2,257
Renter share11.9%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate1.5%
Median income$102,798
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Germantown Park
Very Low
Within parent city
31th percentile
#12 of 17 tracts In Germantown
Low
Within county
57th percentile
#100 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Elevated
Within state
67th percentile
#479 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Germantown and the region
Centroid at 39.1666, -77.2488 · click any tract to drill in
Why Germantown Park scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Germantown
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
1.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,099 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Germantown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Germantown
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Germantown
5.5
How Germantown Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 24
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
19%Socioeconomic
30%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
24%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Germantown Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
12.9%Housing insecurity
6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
13.7%Food insecurity
8.6%SNAP enrollment
6.8%Transit barriers
10.0%No health insurance
13.4%Frequent mental distress
21.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Germantown Park
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.2/10. Cost burden runs 39% here against 46.7% across Montgomery County.
That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.2/10.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 1%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Montgomery County average of 6.0 closely.
Average gross rent is $2,099, close to the Germantown average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $102,798.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031700819
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700819?
Census tract 24031700819 in the Germantown Park neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031700819?
Median gross rent is $2,099/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700819?
1.5% of residents in tract 24031700819 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,336.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700819?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 30th, minority 76th, housing 24th.
Q5
Is tract 24031700819 considered part of Germantown Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700819 fall within Germantown Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031700819 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031700819 compare to Germantown overall?
Tract 24031700819 scores 6.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Germantown at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Germantown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Germantown
Top eight tracts in Germantown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.