Neighborhood · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally
Brandermill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Germantown
Tract 24031700830 ·
Montgomery County, MD · pop 2,603 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
24031700830 is a census tract in the Brandermill area of Germantown, MD. It scores 7.1/10 for landlords. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 48%Stable renters 30%Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units966
Renter share78.6%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$88,163
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Brandermill
Very Low
Within parent city
69th percentile
#6 of 17 tracts In Germantown
Elevated
Within county
74th percentile
#61 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Elevated
Within state
81th percentile
#285 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Germantown and the region
Centroid at 39.1851, -77.2449 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brandermill scores 7.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Germantown
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$2,195 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Germantown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Germantown
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Germantown
5.5
How Brandermill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
49%Socioeconomic
64%Household composition
83%Racial/ethnic minority
58%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brandermill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
14.2%Housing insecurity
8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
15.2%Food insecurity
10.1%SNAP enrollment
7.6%Transit barriers
9.0%No health insurance
13.9%Frequent mental distress
20.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brandermill
61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Montgomery County average of 46.7%. 79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.2/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8/10.
It sits 1.1 points above the Montgomery County average of 6.0. On the national scale it lands near the 85th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter.
Average gross rent is $2,195, close to the Germantown average. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $88,163.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031700830
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700830?
Census tract 24031700830 in the Brandermill neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031700830?
Median gross rent is $2,195/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700830?
8.3% of residents in tract 24031700830 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,603.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700830?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 64th, minority 83th, housing 58th.
Q5
Is tract 24031700830 considered part of Brandermill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700830 fall within Brandermill (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031700830 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031700830 compare to Germantown overall?
Tract 24031700830 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Germantown at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Germantown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Germantown
Top eight tracts in Germantown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.