Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally
Brandermill Eviction Risk: Elevated , Germantown
Tract 24031700834 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 4,988 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 24031700834 covers part of the Brandermill area of Germantown, MD, and scores 7.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,988. Severe burden reaches 35%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,749
Renter share32.0%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate20.7%
Median income$107,639
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Germantown and the region
Centroid at 39.1886, -77.2317 · click any tract to drill in
Why Brandermill scores 7.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Germantown
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
20.7% poverty · this tract
5.2
Supply constraint
$2,045 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Germantown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Germantown
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Germantown
5.5
How Brandermill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 35%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Brandermill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.8%Housing insecurity
- 11.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.8%Food insecurity
- 18.3%SNAP enrollment
- 11.1%Transit barriers
- 13.9%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 27.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Brandermill
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Against Montgomery County at 46.7%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened.
It sits 1.7 points above the Montgomery County average of 6.0. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.2/10.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.6/10. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $2,045, close to the Germantown average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $107,639. 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031700834
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700834?
Census tract 24031700834 in the Brandermill neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031700834?
Median gross rent is $2,045/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700834?
20.7% of residents in tract 24031700834 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,988.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700834?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 80th, minority 90th, housing 35th.
Q5
Is tract 24031700834 considered part of Brandermill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700834 fall within Brandermill (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031700834 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031700834 compare to Germantown overall?
Tract 24031700834 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Germantown at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Germantown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Germantown
Top eight tracts in Germantown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
The Colony
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · MD
North Germantown
7.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · MD
Kings Square
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Germantown Park
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Brandermill
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Seneca Park
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
North Germantown
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MD
Williamsburg Square
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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