Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Brandermill Eviction Risk: Moderate , Germantown

Tract 24031700834 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 4,988 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 24031700834 belongs to Brandermill in Germantown, Maryland. It is home to 4,988 residents and scores 7.4/10, an elevated reading for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #1,599 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

60% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,045 a month while the average household earns $107,639 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 13% Owners 68%

Tract context

Occupied units1,749

Renter share32.0%

SVI overall0.73

Poverty rate20.7%

Median income$107,639

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Germantown and the region

Centroid at 39.1886, -77.2317 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brandermill scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Germantown

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

20.7% poverty · this tract

5.2

Supply constraint

$2,045 rent vs county FMR

3.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Germantown

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Germantown

7.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Germantown

5.5

How Brandermill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 73

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

76%Socioeconomic
80%Household composition
90%Racial/ethnic minority
35%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Brandermill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

19.8%Housing insecurity
11.9%Utility-shutoff threat
23.8%Food insecurity
18.3%SNAP enrollment
11.1%Transit barriers
13.9%No health insurance
15.8%Frequent mental distress
27.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brandermill

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Germantown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 73rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031700834

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700834?

Census tract 24031700834 in the Brandermill neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24031700834?

Median gross rent is $2,045/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700834?

20.7% of residents in tract 24031700834 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,988.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700834?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 80th, minority 90th, housing 35th.

Is tract 24031700834 considered part of Brandermill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700834 fall within Brandermill (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24031700834 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24031700834 compare to Germantown overall?

Tract 24031700834 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Germantown at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Germantown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Germantown

Top eight tracts in Germantown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.