Neighborhood · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally

Seneca Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Germantown

Tract 24031700832 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 3,166 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 24031700832 covers the Seneca Park neighborhood of Germantown in Maryland. Home to 3,166 residents, it scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 89th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,778 a month while the average household earns $86,696 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 17% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.3

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 10% Owners 83%

Tract context

Occupied units901

Renter share16.8%

SVI overall0.80

Poverty rate5.7%

Median income$86,696

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Germantown and the region

Centroid at 39.1701, -77.2386 · click any tract to drill in

Why Seneca Park scores 3.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Germantown

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

5.7% poverty · this tract

1.4

Supply constraint

$1,778 rent vs county FMR

2.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Germantown

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Germantown

7.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Germantown

5.5

How Seneca Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

73%Socioeconomic
78%Household composition
85%Racial/ethnic minority
68%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.8%Housing insecurity
10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
22.7%Food insecurity
15.6%SNAP enrollment
10.2%Transit barriers
17.0%No health insurance
14.7%Frequent mental distress
27.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Seneca Park

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Germantown eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031700832

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700832?

Census tract 24031700832 in the Seneca Park neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24031700832?

Median gross rent is $1,778/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700832?

5.7% of residents in tract 24031700832 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,166.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700832?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 78th, minority 85th, housing 68th.

Is tract 24031700832 considered part of Seneca Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700832 fall within Seneca Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24031700832 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24031700832 compare to Germantown overall?

Tract 24031700832 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Germantown at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Germantown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Germantown

Top eight tracts in Germantown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.