Neighborhood · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally
Seneca Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Germantown
Tract 24031700832 ·
Montgomery County, MD · pop 3,166 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 24031700832 sits in the Seneca Park area of Germantown eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.9/10. Population here is 3,166. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%Stable renters 10%Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units901
Renter share16.8%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate5.7%
Median income$86,696
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Seneca Park
Moderate
Within parent city
56th percentile
#8 of 17 tracts In Germantown
Elevated
Within county
72th percentile
#66 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Elevated
Within state
78th percentile
#320 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Germantown and the region
Centroid at 39.1701, -77.2386 · click any tract to drill in
Why Seneca Park scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Germantown
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
5.7% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,778 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Germantown
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Germantown
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Germantown
5.5
How Seneca Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
73%Socioeconomic
78%Household composition
85%Racial/ethnic minority
68%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
18.8%Housing insecurity
10.2%Utility-shutoff threat
22.7%Food insecurity
15.6%SNAP enrollment
10.2%Transit barriers
17.0%No health insurance
14.7%Frequent mental distress
27.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Seneca Park
Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.2/10.
41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Montgomery County average of 46.7%. It sits 0.9 points above the Montgomery County average of 6.0.
Average gross rent is $1,778, 13% below the Germantown average. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 8.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $86,696.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031700832
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700832?
Census tract 24031700832 in the Seneca Park neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031700832?
Median gross rent is $1,778/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700832?
5.7% of residents in tract 24031700832 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,166.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700832?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 78th, minority 85th, housing 68th.
Q5
Is tract 24031700832 considered part of Seneca Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700832 fall within Seneca Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031700832 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031700832 compare to Germantown overall?
Tract 24031700832 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Germantown at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Germantown eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Germantown
Top eight tracts in Germantown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.