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Neighborhood · Germantown, MD

Seneca Park Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 3,166 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.9/10 · range 6.9–6.9

Seneca Park is a one-tract neighborhood of Germantown, MD and houses 3,166 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6.9/10, in the Elevated tier. Against a Germantown baseline of 30.1%, 41% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.4/10. Severe burden reaches 23%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.7/10.

Average gross rent is $1,778, 13% below the Germantown average of $2,040. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.1/10. Among the 12 mapped neighborhoods of Germantown, it ranks #5 by risk, the middle third.

Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Williamsburg Square and Germantown Park.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $86,696.

One tract means one number: 6.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Seneca Park vs Germantown How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
41.1% +37%
Germantown: 30.1%
Average gross rent
$1,778 -13%
Germantown: $2,040
Average HH income
$86,696 -23%
Germantown: $112,149
Poverty rate
5.7% -33%
Germantown: 8.5%
Renter share
16.8% -49%
Germantown: 32.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Seneca Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.9–6.9

Why Seneca Park scores 6.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
17% renter households · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
5.7% below poverty line · Range 1.4–1.4 across tracts
1.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts
2.7
Risk score comparison

Seneca Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Seneca Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.9Seneca ParkNeighborhood6.3Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Seneca Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24031700832 6.9 3,166 41% $1,778
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 80

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 73%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 78%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 85%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 68%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Seneca Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Seneca Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Seneca Park?

Seneca Park scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Seneca Park compare to Germantown overall?

Seneca Park scores 0.6 points higher than Germantown overall (6.3/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,778 vs $2,040.
Q3

What is the average rent in Seneca Park?

Average gross rent in Seneca Park is $1,778/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Seneca Park residents are renters?

17% of Seneca Park households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Germantown). The neighborhood has 3,166 residents.
Q5

Is Seneca Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Seneca Park sits in the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Seneca Park for landlords?

Seneca Park carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Germantown as a whole (6.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Seneca Park?

Seneca Park has 2,961 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (53.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (20.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Seneca Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Germantown

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Seneca Park.

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