Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Cashell Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Olney

Tract 24031701306 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 2,524 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 24031701306 sits in the Cashell Manor area of Olney eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4/10. It is home to 2,524 residents. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 3% Owners 95%

Tract context

Occupied units929

Renter share4.2%

SVI overall0.03

Poverty rate2.6%

Median income$210,288

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Olney and the region

Centroid at 39.1388, -77.0959 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cashell Manor scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Olney

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

2.6% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$2,685 rent vs county FMR

6.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Olney

6.6

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Olney

3.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Olney

4.8

How Cashell Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 3

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

4%Socioeconomic
16%Household composition
36%Racial/ethnic minority
6%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.8%Housing insecurity
3.4%Utility-shutoff threat
5.9%Food insecurity
3.5%SNAP enrollment
3.6%Transit barriers
4.8%No health insurance
10.7%Frequent mental distress
18.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cashell Manor

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.

Against the Montgomery County average of 6.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.0 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.2/10. 38% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Montgomery County average of 46.7%.

Food insecurity runs 5.9% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 3.5% against 15.2% nationally. The voucher gap is 16.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

At $2,685 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Olney commands. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 4% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.3/10. Against average income of $210,288, annual rent is just 15%.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031701306

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031701306?

Census tract 24031701306 in the Cashell Manor neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24031701306?

Median gross rent is $2,685/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031701306?

2.6% of residents in tract 24031701306 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,524.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031701306?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 4th, household 16th, minority 36th, housing 6th.

Is tract 24031701306 considered part of Cashell Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031701306 fall within Cashell Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24031701306 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24031701306 compare to Olney overall?

Tract 24031701306 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Olney at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Olney eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Olney

Top eight tracts in Olney ranked by composite eviction-risk score.