Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #73,892 of 84,120 nationally
Fairknoll Eviction Risk: Lower , Colesville
Tract 24031701415 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 8,350 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 24031701415 covers the Fairknoll area of Colesville in Maryland. Home to 8,350 residents, it scores 6.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 93% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,372 a month while the average household earns $111,795 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 14% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units2,566
Renter share14.3%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$111,795
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
35
th percentile
Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Colesville and the region
Centroid at 39.0843, -76.9895 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fairknoll scores 2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Colesville
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,372 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Colesville
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Colesville
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Colesville
6.4
How Fairknoll compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 36
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 10%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.2%Food insecurity
- 8.7%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 8.7%No health insurance
- 12.0%Frequent mental distress
- 23.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fairknoll
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Colesville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Black and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 36th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031701415
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031701415?
Census tract 24031701415 in the Fairknoll neighborhood scores 2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031701415?
Median gross rent is $1,372/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031701415?
5.5% of residents in tract 24031701415 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,350.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031701415?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 65th, minority 83th, housing 10th.
Q5
Is tract 24031701415 considered part of Fairknoll?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031701415 fall within Fairknoll (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031701415 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031701415 compare to Colesville overall?
Tract 24031701415 scores 2/10, lower than the parent city of Colesville at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Colesville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Colesville
Top eight tracts in Colesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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