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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Rocky Brook Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Colesville

Tract 24031701506 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 5,073 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

24031701506 is a census tract in the Rocky Brook Park area of Colesville, MD. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,073. At $2,756 a month, rents run 46% over what the rest of Colesville commands.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 6% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,753
Renter share10.3%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate4.7%
Median income$177,404

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Rocky Brook Park
Moderate
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Colesville
Elevated
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#167 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Low
Within state
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#766 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Colesville and the region

Centroid at 39.0549, -77.0050 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rocky Brook Park scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Colesville
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.7% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,756 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Colesville
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Colesville
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Colesville
6.4

How Rocky Brook Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rocky Brook Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.2This tracttract 7015065.9Colesvilleparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rocky Brook Park

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.6/10.

Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.2/10.

The voucher gap is 19.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. 42% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Montgomery County average of 46.7%. SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally.

Against the Montgomery County average of 6.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 3.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $177,404.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031701506

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031701506?

Census tract 24031701506 in the Rocky Brook Park neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24031701506?

Median gross rent is $2,756/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031701506?

4.7% of residents in tract 24031701506 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,073.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031701506?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 63th, minority 77th, housing 9th.
Q5

Is tract 24031701506 considered part of Rocky Brook Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031701506 fall within Rocky Brook Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24031701506 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24031701506 compare to Colesville overall?

Tract 24031701506 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Colesville at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Colesville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Colesville

Top eight tracts in Colesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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