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Neighborhood · Colesville, MD

Rocky Brook Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 5,073 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.2–5.2

Rocky Brook Park maps to a single census tract in Colesville, MD and houses 5,073 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 5.2/10, Moderate tier. At $2,756 a month, rents sit 46% over what the rest of Colesville commands.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10. The severe-burden share is 26%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Running cool is economic stress, at 1.2/10.

42% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, below the Colesville rate of 51.0%. The voucher gap is 19.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Among the 4 mapped neighborhoods of Colesville, it ranks #2 by risk, the middle third.

Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 5.2/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Rocky Brook Park vs Colesville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
41.7% -18%
Colesville: 51.0%
Average gross rent
$2,756 +46%
Colesville: $1,893
Average HH income
$177,404 +35%
Colesville: $131,022
Poverty rate
4.7% -11%
Colesville: 5.3%
Renter share
10.3% -39%
Colesville: 17.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rocky Brook Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.2–5.2

Why Rocky Brook Park scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
42% of income on rent · Range 9.6–9.6 across tracts
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
10% renter households · Range 3.8–3.8 across tracts
3.8
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Economic stress
4.7% below poverty line · Range 1.2–1.2 across tracts
1.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Risk score comparison

Rocky Brook Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Rocky Brook Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.2Rocky Brook ParkNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Rocky Brook Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24031701506 5.2 5,073 42% $2,756
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 25

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 23%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 63%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 77%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 9%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Rocky Brook Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Rocky Brook Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Rocky Brook Park?

Rocky Brook Park scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Rocky Brook Park compare to Colesville overall?

Rocky Brook Park scores 0.7 points lower than Colesville overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 51% citywide. Average rent: $2,756 vs $1,893.
Q3

What is the average rent in Rocky Brook Park?

Average gross rent in Rocky Brook Park is $2,756/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Rocky Brook Park residents are renters?

10% of Rocky Brook Park households are renter-occupied (vs 17% in Colesville). The neighborhood has 5,073 residents.
Q5

Is Rocky Brook Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Rocky Brook Park sits in the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Rocky Brook Park for landlords?

Rocky Brook Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Colesville as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Rocky Brook Park?

Rocky Brook Park has 4,945 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (38.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (33.5%), Hispanic / Latino (11.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Rocky Brook Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Colesville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Rocky Brook Park.

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