Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally
Carroll Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Takoma Park
Tract 24031701701 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 3,726 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 7.3/10, tract 24031701701 in Carroll Manor in Takoma Park ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,726 residents. It lands near the 97th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 52% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,252 monthly, set against $103,750 in average yearly household income, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 48% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,555
Renter share47.8%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate13.0%
Median income$103,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Takoma Park and the region
Centroid at 38.9768, -77.0074 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carroll Manor scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Takoma Park
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
13.0% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,252 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Takoma Park
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Takoma Park
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Takoma Park
6.5
How Carroll Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Carroll Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.2%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.5%Food insecurity
- 8.8%SNAP enrollment
- 6.1%Transit barriers
- 7.1%No health insurance
- 13.0%Frequent mental distress
- 23.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carroll Manor
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Takoma Park, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031701701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031701701?
Census tract 24031701701 in the Carroll Manor neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031701701?
Median gross rent is $1,252/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031701701?
13.0% of residents in tract 24031701701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,726.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031701701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 91th, minority 63th, housing 64th.
Q5
Is tract 24031701701 considered part of Carroll Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031701701 fall within Carroll Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031701701 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031701701 compare to Takoma Park overall?
Tract 24031701701 scores 5/10, lower than the parent city of Takoma Park at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Takoma Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Takoma Park
Top eight tracts in Takoma Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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