Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Harmony Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Aspen Hill

Tract 24031703402 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 4,105 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 24031703402 sits in the Harmony Hills area of Wheaton eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. Population here is 4,105. The severe-burden share is 42%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

5.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 7% Owners 87%

Tract context

Occupied units1,074

Renter share12.7%

SVI overall0.53

Poverty rate1.9%

Median income$137,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Aspen Hill and the region

Centroid at 39.0696, -77.0691 · click any tract to drill in

Why Harmony Hills scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Aspen Hill

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

1.9% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$1,993 rent vs county FMR

3.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Aspen Hill

6.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Aspen Hill

7.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Aspen Hill

6.1

How Harmony Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 53

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

55%Socioeconomic
22%Household composition
85%Racial/ethnic minority
52%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Harmony Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.8%Housing insecurity
7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
17.4%Food insecurity
10.2%SNAP enrollment
7.9%Transit barriers
15.5%No health insurance
12.8%Frequent mental distress
24.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Harmony Hills

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.2/10.

That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.7/10.

Against average income of $137,500, annual rent is just 17%. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 48% of renters. It tracks the Montgomery County average of 6.0 closely.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031703402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031703402?

Census tract 24031703402 in the Harmony Hills neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24031703402?

Median gross rent is $1,993/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031703402?

1.9% of residents in tract 24031703402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,105.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031703402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 22th, minority 85th, housing 52th.

Is tract 24031703402 considered part of Harmony Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031703402 fall within Harmony Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24031703402 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24031703402 compare to Aspen Hill overall?

Tract 24031703402 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Aspen Hill at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aspen Hill eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aspen Hill

Top eight tracts in Aspen Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.