Neighborhood · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Harmony Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Aspen Hill

Tract 24031703214 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 7,827 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 24031703214 covers the Harmony Hills area of Aspen Hill, home to 7,827 residents. For landlords it grades 7.5/10, an elevated reading. On the national scale it ranks #1,155 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

60% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,773 a month while the average household earns $66,208 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 74% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 30% Owners 25%

Tract context

Occupied units2,637

Renter share74.4%

SVI overall0.96

Poverty rate17.6%

Median income$66,208

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Aspen Hill and the region

Centroid at 39.0850, -77.0678 · click any tract to drill in

Why Harmony Hills scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Aspen Hill

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

17.6% poverty · this tract

4.4

Supply constraint

$1,773 rent vs county FMR

2.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Aspen Hill

8.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Aspen Hill

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Aspen Hill

6.5

How Harmony Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

94%Socioeconomic
81%Household composition
89%Racial/ethnic minority
91%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Harmony Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.5%Housing insecurity
14.6%Utility-shutoff threat
29.8%Food insecurity
23.7%SNAP enrollment
13.8%Transit barriers
19.7%No health insurance
16.9%Frequent mental distress
31.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Harmony Hills

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Aspen Hill eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031703214

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031703214?

Census tract 24031703214 in the Harmony Hills neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24031703214?

Median gross rent is $1,773/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031703214?

17.6% of residents in tract 24031703214 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,827.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031703214?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 81th, minority 89th, housing 91th.

Is tract 24031703214 considered part of Harmony Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031703214 fall within Harmony Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24031703214 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24031703214 compare to Aspen Hill overall?

Tract 24031703214 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Aspen Hill at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aspen Hill eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aspen Hill

Top eight tracts in Aspen Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.