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Neighborhood · Aspen Hill, MD

Harmony Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 11,932 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.2/10 · range 5.6–8

Harmony Hills spans 2 census tracts of Aspen Hill, MD and houses 11,932 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 7.2/10, in the Elevated tier. 56% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Aspen Hill rate of 33.7%.

The severe-burden share is 38%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The 2 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 5.6 to 8, a 2.4-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 7.8/10. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7.4/10. Running cool is supply constraint, at 3/10.

17.6% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. That places it #3 of 8 neighborhoods in Aspen Hill.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Willson Hills and English Manor. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Average gross rent runs $1,849, close to the Aspen Hill average. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $90,735.

53% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.2 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Harmony Hills vs Aspen Hill How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.0% +66%
Aspen Hill: 33.7%
Average gross rent
$1,849 -3%
Aspen Hill: $1,916
Average HH income
$90,735 -17%
Aspen Hill: $109,026
Poverty rate
12.2% +39%
Aspen Hill: 8.8%
Renter share
53.2% +51%
Aspen Hill: 35.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Harmony Hills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 5.6–8

Why Harmony Hills scores 7.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 6.8–8.4 across tracts
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.3–5.5 across tracts
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
53% renter households · Range 7.3–7.5 across tracts
7.4
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.5 across tracts
6.4
Economic stress
12.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.4 across tracts
3.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.7–3.6 across tracts
3.0
Risk score comparison

Harmony Hills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Harmony Hills score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.2Harmony HillsNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Harmony Hills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24031703214 8 7,827 60% $1,773
24031703402 5.6 4,105 48% $1,993
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 81

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 81%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 61%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 88%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 77%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Harmony Hills

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Harmony Hills

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Harmony Hills?

Harmony Hills scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Harmony Hills compare to Aspen Hill overall?

Harmony Hills scores 0.6 points higher than Aspen Hill overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,849 vs $1,916.
Q3

What is the average rent in Harmony Hills?

Average gross rent in Harmony Hills is $1,849/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Harmony Hills residents are renters?

53% of Harmony Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Aspen Hill). The neighborhood has 11,932 residents.
Q5

Is Harmony Hills a high social-vulnerability area?

Harmony Hills sits in the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Harmony Hills have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Harmony Hills is census tract 24031703214 (score 8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.6 to 8, a spread of 2.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Harmony Hills for landlords?

Harmony Hills carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.2/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Aspen Hill as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Harmony Hills?

Harmony Hills has 11,557 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (37.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (23.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (18.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Harmony Hills

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Aspen Hill

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Harmony Hills.

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