Neighborhood · Aspen Hill, MD

Harmony Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 11,932 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 2.7–4.8

Harmony Hills is a hispanic-black neighborhood in Aspen Hill with 2 census tracts and a population of 11,932 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 56% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 38% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,849/month sits 3% lower than the Aspen Hill citywide average ($1,916).

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

2 tracts · population-weighted

Harmony Hills vs Aspen Hill How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

56.0% +66%

Aspen Hill: 33.7%

Average gross rent

$1,849 -3%

Aspen Hill: $1,916

Average HH income

$90,735 -17%

Aspen Hill: $109,026

Poverty rate

12.2% +39%

Aspen Hill: 8.8%

Renter share

53.2% +51%

Aspen Hill: 35.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Harmony Hills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 2.7–4.8

Why Harmony Hills scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts

8.2

Rent control risk

56% of income on rent · Range 6.8–8.4 across tracts

7.8

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.3–5.5 across tracts

5.4

Tenant organizing strength

53% renter households · Range 7.3–7.5 across tracts

7.4

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.5 across tracts

6.4

Economic stress

12.2% below poverty line · Range 1.0–4.4 across tracts

3.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.7–3.6 across tracts

3.0

Risk score comparison

Harmony Hills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Harmony Hills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
24031703214	4.8	7,827	60%	$1,773
24031703402	2.7	4,105	48%	$1,993

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 81

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 81%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 61%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 88%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 77%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Harmony Hills

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

21.2%Housing insecurity
12.1%Utility shutoff threat
25.5%Food insecurity
19.1%SNAP enrollment
18.3%No health insurance
28.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Harmony Hills

What is the eviction-risk score for Harmony Hills?

Harmony Hills scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Harmony Hills compare to Aspen Hill overall?

Harmony Hills scores 2.3 points lower than Aspen Hill overall (6.4/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,849 vs $1,916.

What is the average rent in Harmony Hills?

Average gross rent in Harmony Hills is $1,849/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Harmony Hills residents are renters?

53% of Harmony Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Aspen Hill). The neighborhood has 11,932 residents.

Is Harmony Hills a high social-vulnerability area?

Harmony Hills sits in the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Harmony Hills have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Harmony Hills is census tract 24031703214 (score 4.8/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.7 to 4.8, a spread of 2.1 points.

How safe is Harmony Hills for landlords?

Harmony Hills carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Aspen Hill as a whole (6.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Harmony Hills?

Harmony Hills has 11,557 residents (Hispanic-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (37.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (23.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (18.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Harmony Hills

3.6 Willson Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,822 3.5 Manor Park 3 tracts · pop 8,975 4.1 Glemont Forest 2 tracts · pop 7,974 3 Layhill South 2 tracts · pop 10,690 2.5 Sycamore Creek 2 tracts · pop 10,031 2.2 Wickford 2 tracts · pop 5,539

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Aspen Hill

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Harmony Hills.

3.5 Willson Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,822 4.9 English Manor 1 tracts · pop 6,540 2.9 Aspen Hill Park 1 tracts · pop 5,185 2.9 Wheaton Woods 1 tracts · pop 4,669 2.7 Aspen Knolls 1 tracts · pop 8,194 2.5 Sycamore Creek 2 tracts · pop 10,031

Zoom out