Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Capitol View Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Forest Glen
Tract 24031704000 ·
Montgomery County, MD · pop 6,877 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 24031704000 in the Capitol View Park area of Forest Glen, MD reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%Stable renters 24%Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,468
Renter share36.3%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate6.8%
Median income$140,781
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Capitol View Park
Moderate
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Forest Glen
Very High
Within county
39th percentile
#141 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Low
Within state
56th percentile
#648 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forest Glen and the region
Centroid at 39.0217, -77.0544 · click any tract to drill in
Why Capitol View Park scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Forest Glen
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
6.8% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,549 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forest Glen
5.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forest Glen
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forest Glen
4.5
How Capitol View Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
42%Socioeconomic
75%Household composition
76%Racial/ethnic minority
89%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
11.1%Housing insecurity
6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
12.3%Food insecurity
7.9%SNAP enrollment
6.2%Transit barriers
9.9%No health insurance
12.3%Frequent mental distress
22.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Capitol View Park
roughly one in three of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Montgomery County average of 46.7%. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.7/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.7/10.
Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. SNAP participation runs 7.9% against 15.2% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $140,781, annual rent is just 13%.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Montgomery County average of 6.0 closely. Average gross rent is $1,549, close to the Forest Glen average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031704000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031704000?
Census tract 24031704000 in the Capitol View Park neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031704000?
Median gross rent is $1,549/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031704000?
6.8% of residents in tract 24031704000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,877.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031704000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 75th, minority 76th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 24031704000 considered part of Capitol View Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031704000 fall within Capitol View Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031704000 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031704000 compare to Forest Glen overall?
Tract 24031704000 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Forest Glen at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forest Glen; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Forest Glen
Top eight tracts in Forest Glen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.