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Neighborhood · Ranked #58,384 of 84,120 nationally

Randolph Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Forestville

Tract 24033802204 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 4,795 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Here is how census tract 24033802204, in the Randolph Village neighborhood of Forestville, looks to a landlord: a 6.7/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 4,795. On the national scale it ranks #8,075 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 27% of renter households, a moderate level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,658 a month against an average household income of $106,477 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 10% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 7% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units1,931
Renter share9.8%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$106,477

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Randolph Village
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Forestville
Very Low
Within county
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#127 of 214 tracts In Prince George's County
Moderate
Within state
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#787 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Forestville and the region

Centroid at 38.8712, -76.8614 · click any tract to drill in

Why Randolph Village scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Forestville
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,658 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forestville
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forestville
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forestville
6.6

How Randolph Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Randolph Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 802204Forestville: 6.56.5Forestvilleparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 40

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 296Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 41.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 74.1%Peak (2014)
  • 50Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 240338022042011: 60 filings (35.29/100 renter HHs)2012: 60 filings (35.29/100 renter HHs)2014: 126 filings (74.12/100 renter HHs)2016: 50 filings (21.93/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Randolph Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Randolph Village

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Forestville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Prince George's County average of 6.9 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 21.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24033802204

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033802204?

Census tract 24033802204 in the Randolph Village neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24033802204?

Median gross rent is $2,658/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24033802204?

2.2% of residents in tract 24033802204 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,795.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24033802204?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 63th, minority 98th, housing 10th.
Q5

Is tract 24033802204 considered part of Randolph Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033802204 fall within Randolph Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033802204?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 296 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033802204 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 41.66% of renter households, peaking at 74.1% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 24033802204 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 24033802204 compare to Forestville overall?

Tract 24033802204 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Forestville at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forestville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Forestville

Top eight tracts in Forestville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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