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Neighborhood · Forestville, MD

Randolph Village Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 11,212 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10 · range 3.3–3.7

Randolph Village takes in 2 census tracts of Forestville, MD, population 11,212. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.5/10, placing it in the Lower tier. Average gross rent is $2,383, 39% above the Forestville average of $1,719.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10. 26% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10.

Filings are well documented here: 6,311 across 2 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 212.3% of renter households.

36% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. Judgments average 3.2% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.4 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $102,949.

41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Randolph Village vs Forestville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
35.6% +9%
Forestville: 32.8%
Average gross rent
$2,383 +39%
Forestville: $1,719
Average HH income
$102,949 +29%
Forestville: $80,028
Poverty rate
3.1% -70%
Forestville: 10.2%
Renter share
40.8% +15%
Forestville: 35.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Randolph Village and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.3–3.7

Why Randolph Village scores 3.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Rent control risk
36% of income on rent · Range 6.0–7.9 across tracts
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–5.9 across tracts
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
41% renter households · Range 7.4–9.4 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.9–6.6 across tracts
6.2
Economic stress
3.1% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.4–6.5 across tracts
5.3
Risk score comparison

Randolph Village vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Randolph Village score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.5Randolph VillageNeighborhood4.2Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Randolph Village

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24033803519 3.7 6,417 42% $2,178
24033802204 3.3 4,795 27% $2,658
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 47

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 47%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 47%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 98%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 29%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Randolph Village

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 6,311Total filings (sum)
  • 92.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 212.3%Peak year (2016)
  • 130.89%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Randolph Village

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Randolph Village

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Randolph Village?

Randolph Village scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Randolph Village compare to Forestville overall?

Randolph Village scores 0.7 points lower than Forestville overall (4.2/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $2,383 vs $1,719.
Q3

What is the average rent in Randolph Village?

Average gross rent in Randolph Village is $2,383/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Randolph Village residents are renters?

41% of Randolph Village households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Forestville). The neighborhood has 11,212 residents.
Q5

Is Randolph Village a high social-vulnerability area?

Randolph Village sits in the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Randolph Village have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Randolph Village is census tract 24033803519 (score 3.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.3 to 3.7, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Randolph Village for landlords?

Randolph Village carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Forestville as a whole (4.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Randolph Village?

Randolph Village has 11,289 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (89.7%), Hispanic / Latino (4.9%), Other / Multiracial (3.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Randolph Village

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Forestville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Randolph Village.

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