Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
Randolph Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Forestville
Tract 24033803519 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 6,417 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
For landlords sizing up the Randolph Village neighborhood of Forestville, census tract 24033803519 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.9/10. It lands near the 93rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 42% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,178 a month while the average household earns $100,313 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units2,689
Renter share63.9%
SVI overall0.53
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$100,313
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forestville and the region
Centroid at 38.8973, -76.8586 · click any tract to drill in
Why Randolph Village scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Forestville
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,178 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forestville
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forestville
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forestville
5.9
How Randolph Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 53
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 35%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 6,015Total filings over 4 yrs
- 131.07%Avg annual filing rate
- 212.3%Peak (2016)
- 2,624Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 573% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Randolph Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 19.6%Housing insecurity
- 11.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.6%Food insecurity
- 13.7%SNAP enrollment
- 9.6%Transit barriers
- 8.9%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 23.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Randolph Village
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Forestville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Prince George's County average of 6.9 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 19.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24033803519
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033803519?
Census tract 24033803519 in the Randolph Village neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24033803519?
Median gross rent is $2,178/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24033803519?
3.8% of residents in tract 24033803519 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,417.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24033803519?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 53th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 35th, minority 98th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 24033803519 considered part of Randolph Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033803519 fall within Randolph Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033803519?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 6,015 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033803519 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 131.07% of renter households, peaking at 212.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 24033803519 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 24033803519 compare to Forestville overall?
Tract 24033803519 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Forestville at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forestville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Forestville
Top eight tracts in Forestville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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