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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Chapel Oaks Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cheverly

Tract 24033803100 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 2,616 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

The Chapel Oaks area of Cheverly is where census tract 24033803100 sits, home to 2,616 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 7.6/10. On the national scale it ranks #865 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

52% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,519 monthly, set against $59,821 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 22% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,214
Renter share45.3%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate26.1%
Median income$59,821

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Chapel Oaks
Very Low
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Cheverly
Very High
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#78 of 214 tracts In Prince George's County
Elevated
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#447 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cheverly and the region

Centroid at 38.9093, -76.9163 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chapel Oaks scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cheverly
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
26.1% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$1,519 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cheverly
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cheverly
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cheverly
5.4

How Chapel Oaks compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chapel Oaks risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 803100Cheverly: 6.56.5Cheverlyparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,450Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 183.63%Avg annual filing rate
  • 195.1%Peak (2011)
  • 859Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 240338031002011: 964 filings (195.14/100 renter HHs)2012: 770 filings (155.87/100 renter HHs)2014: 857 filings (173.48/100 renter HHs)2016: 859 filings (210.02/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Chapel Oaks. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chapel Oaks

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cheverly, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Prince George's County average of 6.9 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 27.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 18.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24033803100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033803100?

Census tract 24033803100 in the Chapel Oaks neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24033803100?

Median gross rent is $1,519/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24033803100?

26.1% of residents in tract 24033803100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,616.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24033803100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 54th, minority 94th, housing 53th.
Q5

Is tract 24033803100 considered part of Chapel Oaks?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033803100 fall within Chapel Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033803100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,450 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033803100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 183.63% of renter households, peaking at 195.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 24033803100 struggle to pay rent?

About 27.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 24033803100 compare to Cheverly overall?

Tract 24033803100 scores 4.4/10, lower than the parent city of Cheverly at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cheverly; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cheverly

Top eight tracts in Cheverly ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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