Dunbar-Broadway Eviction Risk: High , Baltimore

Running hot, economic stress reads 9.5/10. Set annual rent against average income of $39,083 and the ratio lands at 43%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The poverty rate is 38%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.8/10. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Food insecurity runs 31.3% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Baltimore City average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

Cost burden runs 56% here against 50.2% across Baltimore City. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Baltimore. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.