Dunbar-Broadway Eviction Risk: High

What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 9.5/10. Set annual rent against average household income of $39,083 and the ratio lands at 43%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The poverty rate is 38%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

SNAP participation is 32.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally. 18% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.2/10. Food insecurity affects 31.3% of adults, 13.5 points above the national rate. Among the 157 mapped neighborhoods of Baltimore, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

For a like-for-like read, Coppin Heights/Ash-Co-East and Penrose/Fayette Street Outreach score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Average gross rent runs $1,408, close to the Baltimore average.

One tract means one number: 8/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.