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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Rognel Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baltimore

Tract 24510160801 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 3,131 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 24510160801 covers part of the Rognel Heights area of Baltimore, MD, and scores 7.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,131. 51% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 11% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,196
Renter share37.8%
SVI overall0.60
Poverty rate23.6%
Median income$42,255

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Rognel Heights
Very High
Within parent city
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#69 of 199 tracts In Baltimore
Elevated
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#68 of 199 tracts In Baltimore city
Elevated
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#155 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Baltimore and the region

Centroid at 39.2981, -76.6841 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rognel Heights scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
23.6% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,207 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0

How Rognel Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rognel Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.7This tracttract 1608016.6Baltimoreparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 60

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rognel Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rognel Heights

Cost burden runs 71% here against 50.2% across Baltimore City. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 10/10. SNAP participation runs 37.0% against 15.2% nationally.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.1/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $42,255, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.8/10. Housing insecurity runs 30.3% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

It sits 0.9 points above the Baltimore City average of 6.8. At $1,207 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Baltimore commands. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Baltimore. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 24510160801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510160801?

Census tract 24510160801 in the Rognel Heights neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24510160801?

Median gross rent is $1,207/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24510160801?

23.6% of residents in tract 24510160801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,131.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24510160801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 60th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 80th, minority 98th, housing 17th.
Q5

Is tract 24510160801 considered part of Rognel Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510160801 fall within Rognel Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24510160801 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24510160801 compare to Baltimore overall?

Tract 24510160801 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24510160801 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore

Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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