Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally

Rognel Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baltimore

Tract 24510280402 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 1,451 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 24510280402 sits in the Rognel Heights area of Baltimore eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.9/10. Population here is 1,451. The severe-burden share is 47%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 6% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units602
Renter share12.0%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate15.7%
Median income$42,368

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Rognel Heights
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#100 of 199 tracts In Baltimore
Moderate
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#100 of 199 tracts In Baltimore city
Moderate
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#320 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Baltimore and the region

Centroid at 39.2992, -76.6904 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rognel Heights scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
15.7% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,388 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0

How Rognel Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rognel Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.9This tracttract 2804026.6Baltimoreparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rognel Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rognel Heights

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 10/10. Set annual rent against average income of $42,368 and the ratio lands at 39%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.8/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 84th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 12% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 47% of renters. It tracks the Baltimore City average of 6.8 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,388, close to the Baltimore average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 24510280402

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510280402?

Census tract 24510280402 in the Rognel Heights neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24510280402?

Median gross rent is $1,388/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24510280402?

15.7% of residents in tract 24510280402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,451.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24510280402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 36th, minority 100th, housing 28th.
Q5

Is tract 24510280402 considered part of Rognel Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510280402 fall within Rognel Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24510280402 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24510280402 compare to Baltimore overall?

Tract 24510280402 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24510280402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore

Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related