Neighborhood · Ranked #6,289 of 84,120 nationally

Rognel Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baltimore

Tract 24510280402 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 1,451 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 24510280402 sits in the Rognel Heights area of Baltimore eviction risk, Maryland eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of $1/10. That is riskier than about 95% of US census tracts.

47% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 47% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,388 monthly, set against $42,368 in average yearly household income, roughly 39% of income at the averages. About 12% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

6.7

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 6% Owners 88%

Tract context

Occupied units602

Renter share12.0%

SVI overall0.49

Poverty rate15.7%

Median income$42,368

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Baltimore and the region

Centroid at 39.2992, -76.6904 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rognel Heights scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Baltimore

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.8

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

15.7% poverty · this tract

3.9

Supply constraint

$1,388 rent vs county FMR

2.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Baltimore

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Baltimore

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Baltimore

6.0

How Rognel Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 49

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

53%Socioeconomic
36%Household composition
100%Racial/ethnic minority
28%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
51%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rognel Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.8%Housing insecurity
13.8%Utility-shutoff threat
23.3%Food insecurity
21.8%SNAP enrollment
11.6%Transit barriers
7.7%No health insurance
15.8%Frequent mental distress
35.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rognel Heights

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Baltimore City County average of 7.1 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24510280402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510280402?

Census tract 24510280402 in the Rognel Heights neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24510280402?

Median gross rent is $1,388/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24510280402?

15.7% of residents in tract 24510280402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,451.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24510280402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 36th, minority 100th, housing 28th.

Is tract 24510280402 considered part of Rognel Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510280402 fall within Rognel Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24510280402 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24510280402 compare to Baltimore overall?

Tract 24510280402 scores 6.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Baltimore at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 24510280402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore

Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.