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Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally

Carroll-South Hilton Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baltimore

Tract 24510200600 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 2,387 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

With a score of 7.3/10, tract 24510200600 in the Carroll-South Hilton area of Baltimore, MD reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,387 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 10/10.

Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 18% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,066
Renter share49.3%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate22.0%
Median income$50,884

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Carroll-South Hilton
Moderate
Within parent city
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#85 of 199 tracts In Baltimore
Elevated
Within county
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#86 of 199 tracts In Baltimore city
Elevated
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#216 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Baltimore and the region

Centroid at 39.2840, -76.6637 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carroll-South Hilton scores 7.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
22.0% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,398 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0

How Carroll-South Hilton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carroll-South Hilton risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.3This tracttract 2006006.6Baltimoreparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county5.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carroll-South Hilton

Cost burden runs 64% here against 50.2% across Baltimore City. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

SNAP participation runs 33.7% against 15.2% nationally. On the high side, regional political climate reads 8.8/10.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $50,884, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Food insecurity runs 34.0% against 17.8% nationally.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.2/10. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 24510200600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510200600?

Census tract 24510200600 in the Carroll-South Hilton neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24510200600?

Median gross rent is $1,398/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 64% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24510200600?

22.0% of residents in tract 24510200600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,387.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24510200600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 82th, minority 89th, housing 35th.
Q5

Is tract 24510200600 considered part of Carroll-South Hilton?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510200600 fall within Carroll-South Hilton (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24510200600 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24510200600 compare to Baltimore overall?

Tract 24510200600 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24510200600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore

Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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