Carroll-South Hilton Eviction Risk: Elevated

26% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 2.1/10.

18.8% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Food insecurity affects 34.0% of adults, 16.2 points above the national rate. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

That places it #66 of 157 neighborhoods in Baltimore. The closest comparables inside the same city are Saint Josephs and Mount Vernon.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.2/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,398, close to the Baltimore average. 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 7.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.