Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #4,396 of 84,120 nationally
Armistead Gardens Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baltimore
Tract 24510260402 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 3,314 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
The Armistead Gardens neighborhood of Baltimore is where census tract 24510260402 sits, home to 3,314 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 7.2/10. It lands near the 97th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 52% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,118 a month against an average household income of $41,964 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 77% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 37%
Owners 23%
Tract context
Occupied units1,304
Renter share77.4%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate20.4%
Median income$41,964
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baltimore and the region
Centroid at 39.3169, -76.5413 · click any tract to drill in
Why Armistead Gardens scores 7.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
20.4% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,118 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0
How Armistead Gardens compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 86%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Armistead Gardens. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 34.3%Housing insecurity
- 24.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 42.0%Food insecurity
- 44.2%SNAP enrollment
- 20.4%Transit barriers
- 12.9%No health insurance
- 22.3%Frequent mental distress
- 41.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Armistead Gardens
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Baltimore City County average of 7.1 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 34.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 24.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24510260402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510260402?
Census tract 24510260402 in the Armistead Gardens neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24510260402?
Median gross rent is $1,118/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24510260402?
20.4% of residents in tract 24510260402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,314.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24510260402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 86th, minority 97th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 24510260402 considered part of Armistead Gardens?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510260402 fall within Armistead Gardens (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24510260402 struggle to pay rent?
About 34.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24510260402 compare to Baltimore overall?
Tract 24510260402 scores 7.1/10, higher than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore
Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related