Armistead Gardens Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baltimore

Food insecurity runs 42.0% against 17.8% nationally. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. 77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.8/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 24.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. At $1,118 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Baltimore commands. Against the Baltimore City average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.6 points.

That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.