Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,456 of 84,120 nationally
Winston-Govans Eviction Risk: Elevated , Baltimore
Tract 24510271002 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 3,761 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
For landlords sizing up the Winston-Govans area of Baltimore, census tract 24510271002 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 7.2/10. That is riskier than roughly 97% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,563 a month against an average household income of $58,698 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,449
Renter share42.4%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate16.8%
Median income$58,698
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baltimore and the region
Centroid at 39.3504, -76.6044 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winston-Govans scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
16.8% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,563 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0
How Winston-Govans compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 96%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 88%Grade B
- 12%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.9%Housing insecurity
- 17.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.8%Food insecurity
- 28.7%SNAP enrollment
- 14.6%Transit barriers
- 10.1%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 36.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winston-Govans
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Baltimore City County average of 7.1 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24510271002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510271002?
Census tract 24510271002 in the Winston-Govans neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24510271002?
Median gross rent is $1,563/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24510271002?
16.8% of residents in tract 24510271002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,761.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24510271002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 95th, minority 96th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 24510271002 considered part of Winston-Govans?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510271002 fall within Winston-Govans (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24510271002 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24510271002 compare to Baltimore overall?
Tract 24510271002 scores 6.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Baltimore at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 24510271002 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore
Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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