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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,005 of 84,120 nationally

Arlington Eviction Risk: High , Baltimore

Tract 24510271801 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 2,226 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

How risky is Arlington in Baltimore for landlords? Census tract 24510271801 scores 7.7/10, the Elevated tier. That puts it among the highest-scoring tracts in the entire country, the top 1% nationally for landlord eviction difficulty.

77% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 58% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is about $810 a month. Renters make up 58% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 13% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,112
Renter share57.8%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate38.0%

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Arlington
Moderate
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 199 tracts In Baltimore
Very High
Within county
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 199 tracts In Baltimore city
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Baltimore and the region

Centroid at 39.3478, -76.6835 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arlington scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
38.0% poverty · this tract
9.5
Supply constraint
$810 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0

How Arlington compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arlington risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.08.0This tracttract 271801Baltimore: 6.76.7Baltimoreparent cityCounty: 6.66.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arlington

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Baltimore City County average of 7.1 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 34.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 25.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24510271801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510271801?

Census tract 24510271801 in the Arlington neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24510271801?

Median gross rent is $810/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24510271801?

38.0% of residents in tract 24510271801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,226.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24510271801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 99th, minority 99th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 24510271801 considered part of Arlington?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510271801 fall within Arlington (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24510271801 struggle to pay rent?

About 34.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24510271801 compare to Baltimore overall?

Tract 24510271801 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24510271801 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore

Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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