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Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally

Cheswolde Eviction Risk: Moderate , Baltimore

Tract 24510272004 · Baltimore city, MD · pop 4,113 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Tract 24510272004 covers Cheswolde in Baltimore in Maryland. Home to 4,113 residents, it scores 6.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 90th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,520 a month against an average household income of $69,583 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 63% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 35% Owners 37%
Tract context
Occupied units1,750
Renter share62.9%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$69,583

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Cheswolde
Very High
Within parent city
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#160 of 199 tracts In Baltimore
Very Low
Within county
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#160 of 199 tracts In Baltimore city
Very Low
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#255 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Baltimore and the region

Centroid at 39.3686, -76.6890 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cheswolde scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,520 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0

How Cheswolde compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cheswolde risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.65.6This tracttract 272004Baltimore: 6.76.7Baltimoreparent cityCounty: 6.66.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 34

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Cheswolde. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cheswolde

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Baltimore City County average of 7.1 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24510272004

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510272004?

Census tract 24510272004 in the Cheswolde neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24510272004?

Median gross rent is $1,520/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24510272004?

6.2% of residents in tract 24510272004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,113.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24510272004?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 44th, minority 53th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 24510272004 considered part of Cheswolde?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510272004 fall within Cheswolde (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 24510272004 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 24510272004 compare to Baltimore overall?

Tract 24510272004 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 24510272004 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore

Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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