Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Cheswolde Eviction Risk: Moderate , Baltimore
Tract 24510272003 ·
Baltimore city, MD · pop 6,340 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
24510272003 is a census tract in the Cheswolde area of Baltimore, MD. It scores 5.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,340. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 10/10.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%Stable renters 23%Owners 50%
Tract context
Occupied units2,131
Renter share49.8%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate6.2%
Median income$73,008
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Cheswolde
Very High
Within parent city
7th percentile
#186 of 199 tracts In Baltimore
Very Low
Within county
17th percentile
#166 of 199 tracts In Baltimore city
Very Low
Within state
48th percentile
#766 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baltimore and the region
Centroid at 39.3633, -76.6855 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cheswolde scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Baltimore
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.8
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
6.2% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,570 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baltimore
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baltimore
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baltimore
6.0
How Cheswolde compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
46%Socioeconomic
55%Household composition
57%Racial/ethnic minority
56%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
92%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
13.2%Housing insecurity
8.7%Utility-shutoff threat
15.0%Food insecurity
13.4%SNAP enrollment
8.3%Transit barriers
7.0%No health insurance
16.9%Frequent mental distress
29.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cheswolde
Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.8/10. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.6/10. It sits 1.6 points below the Baltimore City average of 6.8. Average gross rent is $1,570, 18% above the Baltimore average.
This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Baltimore. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 5.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 54% of renters. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $73,008.
50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24510272003
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24510272003?
Census tract 24510272003 in the Cheswolde neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24510272003?
Median gross rent is $1,570/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24510272003?
6.2% of residents in tract 24510272003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,340.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24510272003?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 55th, minority 57th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 24510272003 considered part of Cheswolde?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24510272003 fall within Cheswolde (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24510272003 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24510272003 compare to Baltimore overall?
Tract 24510272003 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Baltimore at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baltimore eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 24510272003 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Baltimore
Top eight tracts in Baltimore ranked by composite eviction-risk score.