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Census Tract · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Lynn Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25009205600 · Essex County, MA · pop 3,737

Lynn in Essex County anchors census tract 25009205600, which lands at 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 97% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

71% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,732 monthly, set against $74,194 in average yearly household income, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 53% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 16% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,570
Renter share52.7%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate19.4%
Median income$74,194

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#7 of 22 tracts In Lynn
Elevated
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 173 tracts In Essex County
High
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#338 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
National
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#23,554 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lynn and the region

Centroid at 42.4690, -70.9854 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lynn scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lynn
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
19.4% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,732 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lynn
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lynn
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lynn
7.2

How Lynn compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lynn risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 205600Lynn: 6.06.0Lynnparent cityCounty: 3.03.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lynn

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lynn eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Essex County average of 6.5 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 13.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009205600

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009205600?

Census tract 25009205600 in Lynn scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25009205600?

Median gross rent is $1,732/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 71% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009205600?

19.4% of residents in tract 25009205600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,737.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009205600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 85th, minority 68th, housing 44th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 25009205600 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 25009205600 compare to Lynn overall?

Tract 25009205600 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Lynn at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 25009205600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lynn

Top eight tracts in Lynn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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