Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Central Square Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Lynn

Tract 25009206500 · Essex County, MA · pop 3,359 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 25009206500 covers part of the Central Square Historic District area of Lynn, MA, and scores 8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,359 residents. 67% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 12% Owners 44%

Tract context

Occupied units1,240

Renter share56.1%

SVI overall0.95

Poverty rate28.1%

Median income$41,906

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lynn and the region

Centroid at 42.4712, -70.9319 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Square Historic District scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lynn

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.5

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

28.1% poverty · this tract

7.0

Supply constraint

$1,497 rent vs county FMR

2.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lynn

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lynn

9.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lynn

7.2

How Central Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

85%Socioeconomic
84%Household composition
85%Racial/ethnic minority
96%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

28.8%Housing insecurity
18.3%Utility-shutoff threat
37.6%Food insecurity
40.4%SNAP enrollment
18.6%Transit barriers
17.9%No health insurance
19.8%Frequent mental distress
39.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Square Historic District

Against Essex County at 50.7%, 79% of renters here are cost-burdened. SNAP participation runs 40.4% against 15.2% nationally.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $41,906 and the ratio lands at 43%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Food insecurity runs 37.6% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 2.0 points above the Essex County average of 6.0. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10.

The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10.

At $1,497 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Lynn commands. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009206500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009206500?

Census tract 25009206500 in the Central Square Historic District neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25009206500?

Median gross rent is $1,497/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 79% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009206500?

28.1% of residents in tract 25009206500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,359.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009206500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 84th, minority 85th, housing 96th.

Is tract 25009206500 considered part of Central Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25009206500 fall within Central Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25009206500 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25009206500 compare to Lynn overall?

Tract 25009206500 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Lynn at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lynn eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lynn

Top eight tracts in Lynn ranked by composite eviction-risk score.