Central Square Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Lynn

SNAP participation runs 35.2% against 15.2% nationally. The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

It sits 2.0 points above the Essex County average of 6.0. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.3/10.

Housing insecurity runs 27.0% against 14.2% nationally. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against Essex County at 50.7%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $1,554 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Lynn commands. Nationally it ranks #7,836 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.