Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally
Saugus Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 25009208200 · Essex County, MA · pop 5,395
25009208200 is a census tract in Saugus, MA. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,395 residents. 29% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Essex County average of 50.7%.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units2,285
Renter share22.4%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$97,847
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
48
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
National
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Saugus and the region
Centroid at 42.4575, -71.0146 · click any tract to drill in
Why Saugus scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Saugus
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Saugus
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Saugus
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Saugus
5.3
How Saugus compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 62%Grade C
- 17%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.7%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.8%Food insecurity
- 14.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.5%Transit barriers
- 5.0%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 30.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Saugus
The dominant input is local political climate at 8.3/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2/10. Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 7.6/10. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 4.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
It tracks the Essex County average of 6.0 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 25009208200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009208200?
Census tract 25009208200 in Saugus scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 25009208200?
8.0% of residents in tract 25009208200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,395.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 25009208200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 59th, minority 28th, housing 33th.
Q4
What share of households in tract 25009208200 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q5
How does tract 25009208200 compare to Saugus overall?
Tract 25009208200 scores 5.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Saugus at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Saugus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q6
Was tract 25009208200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 17% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Saugus
Top eight tracts in Saugus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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