Within parent city
83
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally
Saugus Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 25009208200 · Essex County, MA · pop 5,395
Census tract 25009208200 covers Saugus, home to 5,395 residents. For landlords it grades $1/10, an elevated reading. It lands near the 75th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 29% of renter households, a moderate level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $97,847 a year. Renters make up 22% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units2,285
Renter share22.4%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$97,847
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
32
th percentile
Low
National
15
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Saugus and the region
Centroid at 42.4575, -71.0146 · click any tract to drill in
Why Saugus scores 2.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Saugus
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Saugus
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Saugus
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Saugus
5.3
How Saugus compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 62%Grade C
- 17%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.7%Housing insecurity
- 7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.8%Food insecurity
- 14.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.5%Transit barriers
- 5.0%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 30.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Saugus
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Saugus eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Essex County average of 6.5 and in line with the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Part of this tract, about 17% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 25009208200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009208200?
Census tract 25009208200 in Saugus scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 25009208200?
8.0% of residents in tract 25009208200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,395.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 25009208200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 59th, minority 28th, housing 33th.
Q4
What share of households in tract 25009208200 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q5
How does tract 25009208200 compare to Saugus overall?
Tract 25009208200 scores 2.2/10, lower than the parent city of Saugus at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Saugus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q6
Was tract 25009208200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 17% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Saugus
Top eight tracts in Saugus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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