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Census Tract · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Saugus Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25009208401 · Essex County, MA · pop 3,200

25009208401 is a census tract in Saugus, MA. It scores 5.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,200 residents. 41% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 11% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,198
Renter share24.0%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$114,706

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 7 tracts In Saugus
Very Low
Within county
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#116 of 173 tracts In Essex County
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#1,057 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Low
National
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#31,049 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Saugus and the region

Centroid at 42.4876, -71.0308 · click any tract to drill in

Why Saugus scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Saugus
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.5
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$3,284 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Saugus
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Saugus
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Saugus
5.3

How Saugus compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Saugus risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.1This tracttract 2084015.9Saugusparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Saugus

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $3,284, 47% above the Saugus average.

The voucher gap is 67.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.2/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $114,706, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.3/10. It sits 0.9 points below the Essex County average of 6.0.

Food insecurity runs 10.8% against 17.8% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally.

On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 24% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.6/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25009208401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25009208401?

Census tract 25009208401 in Saugus scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25009208401?

Median gross rent is $3,284/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25009208401?

4.9% of residents in tract 25009208401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,200.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25009208401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 32th, household 54th, minority 18th, housing 83th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 25009208401 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 25009208401 compare to Saugus overall?

Tract 25009208401 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Saugus at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Saugus eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Saugus

Top eight tracts in Saugus ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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