Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally
Turner Falls Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated , Greenfield
Tract 25011040701 · Franklin County, MA · pop 3,921 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 6.6/10, tract 25011040701 in the Turner Falls Historic District area of Turners Falls, MA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,921 residents. 30% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,818
Renter share55.7%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate11.6%
Median income$54,700
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Greenfield and the region
Centroid at 42.5969, -72.5612 · click any tract to drill in
Why Turner Falls Historic District scores 6.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Greenfield
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
11.6% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,159 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Greenfield
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Greenfield
8.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Greenfield
6.5
How Turner Falls Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 21%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 427Total filings over 13 yrs
- 3.21%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.6%Peak (2015)
- 37Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 118% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Turner Falls Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.1%Housing insecurity
- 9.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.5%Food insecurity
- 20.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.3%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 18.8%Frequent mental distress
- 32.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Turner Falls Historic District
The main counterweight is court filing pressure at 0.7/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.7/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.7/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 427 filings here across 13 tracked years. Against Franklin County at 50.0%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened.
It sits 0.7 points above the Franklin County average of 5.9. The worst year on record was 2015, when 5.6% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 3.2% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #14,906 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,159, close to the Turners Falls average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25011040701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25011040701?
Census tract 25011040701 in the Turner Falls Historic District neighborhood scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25011040701?
Median gross rent is $1,159/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25011040701?
11.6% of residents in tract 25011040701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,921.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25011040701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 80th, minority 21th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 25011040701 considered part of Turner Falls Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25011040701 fall within Turner Falls Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25011040701?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 427 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 25011040701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.21% of renter households, peaking at 5.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25011040701 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25011040701 compare to Greenfield overall?
Tract 25011040701 scores 6.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Greenfield at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Greenfield; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Greenfield
Top eight tracts in Greenfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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