Neighborhood · Greenfield, MA

Turner Falls Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 7,571 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10 · range 4.1–4.5

Turner Falls Historic District is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Greenfield with 2 census tracts and a population of 7,571 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 54% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 17% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,155/month sits 4% higher than the Greenfield citywide average ($1,107).

Risk score

4.3

Moderate

2 tracts · population-weighted

Turner Falls Historic District vs Greenfield How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

53.5% +41%

Greenfield: 37.9%

Average gross rent

$1,155 +4%

Greenfield: $1,107

Average HH income

$70,664 +31%

Greenfield: $53,961

Poverty rate

8.1% -48%

Greenfield: 15.7%

Renter share

37.1% -16%

Greenfield: 44.3%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Turner Falls Historic District and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.1–4.5

Why Turner Falls Historic District scores 4.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts

6.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Rent control risk

54% of income on rent · Range 7.7–8.3 across tracts

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.8–6.1 across tracts

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

37% renter households · Range 8.7–8.8 across tracts

8.7

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.5–7.7 across tracts

7.1

Economic stress

8.1% below poverty line · Range 1.1–2.9 across tracts

2.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts

2.4

Risk score comparison

Turner Falls Historic District vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Turner Falls Historic District

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
25011040701	4.5	3,921	54%	$1,159
25011041100	4.1	3,650	53%	$1,151

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 60

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 46%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 80%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 15%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 73%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Turner Falls Historic District

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

505Total filings (sum)
2.50%Avg annual filing rate
5.6%Peak year (2015)
2.33%Latest filed (2016)

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Turner Falls Historic District

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

10.4%Housing insecurity
7.3%Utility shutoff threat
11.8%Food insecurity
15.3%SNAP enrollment
5.0%No health insurance
29.5%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Turner Falls Historic District

What is the eviction-risk score for Turner Falls Historic District?

Turner Falls Historic District scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Turner Falls Historic District compare to Greenfield overall?

Turner Falls Historic District scores 1.8 points lower than Greenfield overall (6.1/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 38% citywide. Average rent: $1,155 vs $1,107.

What is the average rent in Turner Falls Historic District?

Average gross rent in Turner Falls Historic District is $1,155/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Turner Falls Historic District residents are renters?

37% of Turner Falls Historic District households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Greenfield). The neighborhood has 7,571 residents.

Is Turner Falls Historic District a high social-vulnerability area?

Turner Falls Historic District sits in the 60th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Turner Falls Historic District have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Turner Falls Historic District is census tract 25011040701 (score 4.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.1 to 4.5, a spread of 0.4 points.

How safe is Turner Falls Historic District for landlords?

Turner Falls Historic District carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Greenfield as a whole (6.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Turner Falls Historic District?

Turner Falls Historic District has 7,536 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (88.8%), Hispanic / Latino (4.9%), Other / Multiracial (3.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

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