Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Turner Falls Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Greenfield
Tract 25011041100 · Franklin County, MA · pop 3,650 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 5.3/10, tract 25011041100 in the Turner Falls Historic District area of Greenfield, MA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is court filing pressure at 0.7/10.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,607
Renter share17.1%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$87,813
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
39
th percentile
Low
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Greenfield and the region
Centroid at 42.6179, -72.5730 · click any tract to drill in
Why Turner Falls Historic District scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Greenfield
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,151 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Greenfield
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Greenfield
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Greenfield
7.7
How Turner Falls Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 8%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 78Total filings over 13 yrs
- 1.73%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.0%Peak (2010)
- 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 300% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Turner Falls Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.4%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.8%Food insecurity
- 9.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.2%Transit barriers
- 3.7%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 26.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Turner Falls Historic District
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.1/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.8/10. Food insecurity runs 7.8% against 17.8% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 78 evictions over 13 years of observation. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.7% against 11.3% nationally. It sits 0.6 points below the Franklin County average of 5.9.
The worst year on record was 2010, when 3.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.8/10.
Against average income of $87,813, annual rent is just 16%. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25011041100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25011041100?
Census tract 25011041100 in the Turner Falls Historic District neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25011041100?
Median gross rent is $1,151/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25011041100?
4.4% of residents in tract 25011041100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,650.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25011041100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 80th, minority 8th, housing 75th.
Q5
Is tract 25011041100 considered part of Turner Falls Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25011041100 fall within Turner Falls Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25011041100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 78 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 25011041100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.73% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25011041100 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25011041100 compare to Greenfield overall?
Tract 25011041100 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Greenfield at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Greenfield; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Greenfield
Top eight tracts in Greenfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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