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Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Turner Falls Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Greenfield

Tract 25011041100 · Franklin County, MA · pop 3,650 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Turner Falls Historic District in Greenfield anchors census tract 25011041100, which lands at 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 50% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 53% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 3% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,151 a month while the average household earns $87,813 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. About 17% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 8% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,607
Renter share17.1%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$87,813

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Turner Falls Historic District
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Greenfield
Very Low
Within county
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#13 of 19 tracts In Franklin County
Low
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#570 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Greenfield and the region

Centroid at 42.6179, -72.5730 · click any tract to drill in

Why Turner Falls Historic District scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Greenfield
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$1,151 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Greenfield
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Greenfield
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Greenfield
7.7

How Turner Falls Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Turner Falls Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 041100Greenfield: 6.16.1Greenfieldparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 78Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 1.73%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.0%Peak (2010)
  • 4Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 250110411002004: 1 filings (0.32/100 renter HHs)2005: 5 filings (1.63/100 renter HHs)2006: 2 filings (0.65/100 renter HHs)2007: 6 filings (1.95/100 renter HHs)2008: 9 filings (2.93/100 renter HHs)2009: 9 filings (2.93/100 renter HHs)2010: 10 filings (3.02/100 renter HHs)2011: 5 filings (1.26/100 renter HHs)2012: 3 filings (0.76/100 renter HHs)2013: 10 filings (2.52/100 renter HHs)2014: 5 filings (1.26/100 renter HHs)2015: 9 filings (2.27/100 renter HHs)2016: 4 filings (1.01/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 300% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Turner Falls Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Turner Falls Historic District

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Greenfield, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Franklin County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 25011041100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25011041100?

Census tract 25011041100 in the Turner Falls Historic District neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25011041100?

Median gross rent is $1,151/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25011041100?

4.4% of residents in tract 25011041100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,650.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25011041100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 80th, minority 8th, housing 75th.
Q5

Is tract 25011041100 considered part of Turner Falls Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25011041100 fall within Turner Falls Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25011041100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 78 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 25011041100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.73% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25011041100 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25011041100 compare to Greenfield overall?

Tract 25011041100 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Greenfield at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Greenfield; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Greenfield

Top eight tracts in Greenfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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