Neighborhood · Ranked #7,456 of 84,120 nationally

Willimansett Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicopee

Tract 25013812103 · Hampden County, MA · pop 3,921 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

The Willimansett area of Chicopee anchors census tract 25013812103, which lands at 7.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #3,638 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,045 a month against an average household income of $51,017 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 81% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.5

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 46% Owners 19%

Tract context

Occupied units1,529

Renter share81.4%

SVI overall0.90

Poverty rate29.4%

Median income$51,017

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicopee and the region

Centroid at 42.1841, -72.6274 · click any tract to drill in

Why Willimansett scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Chicopee

6.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

29.4% poverty · this tract

7.3

Supply constraint

$1,045 rent vs county FMR

2.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Chicopee

6.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Chicopee

9.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Chicopee

7.4

How Willimansett compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

73%Socioeconomic
98%Household composition
59%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
27%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Willimansett. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.0%Housing insecurity
13.2%Utility-shutoff threat
25.8%Food insecurity
31.3%SNAP enrollment
13.5%Transit barriers
13.9%No health insurance
17.5%Frequent mental distress
45.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Willimansett

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicopee eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hampden County average of 6.6 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013812103

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013812103?

Census tract 25013812103 in the Willimansett neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25013812103?

Median gross rent is $1,045/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013812103?

29.4% of residents in tract 25013812103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,921.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013812103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 98th, minority 59th, housing 87th.

Is tract 25013812103 considered part of Willimansett?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013812103 fall within Willimansett (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 25013812103 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25013812103 compare to Chicopee overall?

Tract 25013812103 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of Chicopee at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicopee eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 25013812103 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicopee

Top eight tracts in Chicopee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.