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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

The Flats Eviction Risk: High , Holyoke

Tract 25013811400 · Hampden County, MA · pop 2,366 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 25013811400 covers part of the The Flats area of Holyoke, MA, and scores 8/10 on landlord eviction risk. SNAP participation runs 49.8% against 15.2% nationally.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34% Stable renters 52% Owners 14%
Tract context
Occupied units842
Renter share85.9%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate29.1%
Median income$33,897

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In The Flats
Very High
Within parent city
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 11 tracts In Holyoke
Low
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 104 tracts In Hampden County
Very High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#213 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Holyoke and the region

Centroid at 42.2039, -72.5960 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Flats scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Holyoke
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
29.1% poverty · this tract
7.3
Supply constraint
$569 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Holyoke
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Holyoke
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Holyoke
7.4

How The Flats compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Flats risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.0This tracttract 8114006.6Holyokeparent city5.8Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Flats. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Flats

Average gross rent is $569, 44% below the Holyoke average. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. Housing insecurity runs 36.0% against 14.2% nationally.

This is renter territory: 86% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Against the Hampden County average of 5.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.2 points. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10.

16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Cost burden runs 40% here against 46.5% across Hampden County.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Holyoke Chicopee. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.8/10.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25013811400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25013811400?

Census tract 25013811400 in the The Flats neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25013811400?

Median gross rent is $569/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25013811400?

29.1% of residents in tract 25013811400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,366.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25013811400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 99th, minority 94th, housing 85th.
Q5

Is tract 25013811400 considered part of The Flats?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25013811400 fall within The Flats (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25013811400 struggle to pay rent?

About 36.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25013811400 compare to Holyoke overall?

Tract 25013811400 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Holyoke at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Holyoke eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 25013811400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 17% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Holyoke

Top eight tracts in Holyoke ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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