Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
South Row Eviction Risk: Moderate , Townsend
Tract 25017301102 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 5,098 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 25017301102 in the South Row area of Townsend, MA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,098. At $1,491 a month, rents run 62% over what the rest of Townsend commands.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,873
Renter share8.9%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$122,942
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
43
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Townsend and the region
Centroid at 42.6384, -71.7146 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Row scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Townsend
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,491 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Townsend
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Townsend
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Townsend
5.1
How South Row compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 4
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 10%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 47Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.4%Peak (2012)
- 9Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.8%Housing insecurity
- 5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.0%Food insecurity
- 10.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.4%Transit barriers
- 3.5%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 26.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Row
58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Middlesex County average of 43.0%. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. 18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.8/10.
Food insecurity runs 9.0% against 17.8% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 47 filings here across 5 tracked years.
Adults with no health insurance runs 3.5% against 11.3% nationally. It sits 0.7 points below the Middlesex County average of 6.3.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 4.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.4% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017301102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017301102?
Census tract 25017301102 in the South Row neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017301102?
Median gross rent is $1,491/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017301102?
7.2% of residents in tract 25017301102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,098.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017301102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 5th, minority 10th, housing 4th.
Q5
Is tract 25017301102 considered part of South Row?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017301102 fall within South Row (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017301102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 47 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017301102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.45% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25017301102 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25017301102 compare to Townsend overall?
Tract 25017301102 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Townsend at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Townsend; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Townsend
Top eight tracts in Townsend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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