Neighborhood · Ranked #22,303 of 84,120 nationally

South Row Eviction Risk: Elevated , Townsend

Tract 25017301102 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 5,098 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

In South Row in Townsend, census tract 25017301102 scores 5.2/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 46% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 58% of renter households, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,491 a month against an average household income of $122,942 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 9% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

6.2

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 4% Owners 91%

Tract context

Occupied units1,873

Renter share8.9%

SVI overall0.04

Poverty rate7.2%

Median income$122,942

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Townsend and the region

Centroid at 42.6384, -71.7146 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Row scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Townsend

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

7.2% poverty · this tract

1.8

Supply constraint

$1,491 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Townsend

3.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Townsend

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Townsend

5.1

How South Row compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

24%Socioeconomic
5%Household composition
10%Racial/ethnic minority
4%Housing & transportation

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

47Total filings over 5 yrs
4.45%Avg annual filing rate
4.4%Peak (2012)
9Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2012 to 2016

Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

0Total filings 2020-21
0.0Avg monthly (observed)
0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.00×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.8%Housing insecurity
5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
9.0%Food insecurity
10.9%SNAP enrollment
6.4%Transit barriers
3.5%No health insurance
16.4%Frequent mental distress
26.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Row

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Townsend, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 47 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 4.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.4% of renter households in 2012.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017301102

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017301102?

Census tract 25017301102 in the South Row neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25017301102?

Median gross rent is $1,491/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017301102?

7.2% of residents in tract 25017301102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,098.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017301102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 5th, minority 10th, housing 4th.

Is tract 25017301102 considered part of South Row?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017301102 fall within South Row (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017301102?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 47 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017301102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.45% of renter households, peaking at 4.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

What share of households in tract 25017301102 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25017301102 compare to Townsend overall?

Tract 25017301102 scores 6.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Townsend at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Townsend; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Townsend

Top eight tracts in Townsend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.