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Census Tract · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally

Townsend Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 25017301101 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,972 · 34% of tract blocks fall in Townsend

Tract 25017301101 sits in Townsend, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.1/10. It is home to 3,972 residents. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 16% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,563
Renter share24.6%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$107,604

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Townsend
Very High
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#160 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Elevated
Within state
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#788 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Moderate
National
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#17,650 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Townsend and the region

Centroid at 42.6938, -71.7114 · click any tract to drill in

Why Townsend scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Townsend
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,063 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Townsend
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Townsend
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Townsend
5.1

How Townsend compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Townsend risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.1This tracttract 3011015.9Townsendparent city6.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 40Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 2.25%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.0%Peak (2015)
  • 9Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 25017301101
Filings climbed 125% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Townsend

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Cost burden runs 33% here against 43.0% across Middlesex County.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.8/10. Average gross rent is $1,063, 16% above the Townsend average.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 40 filings here across 5 tracked years. Food insecurity runs 10.7% against 17.8% nationally.

Adults with no health insurance runs 4.3% against 11.3% nationally. The worst year on record was 2015, when 3.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 2.2% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #17,650 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 25% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 12% of average household income of $107,604, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017301101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017301101?

Census tract 25017301101 in Townsend scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017301101?

Median gross rent is $1,063/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017301101?

7.3% of residents in tract 25017301101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,972.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017301101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 32th, minority 35th, housing 35th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017301101?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 40 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017301101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.25% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 25017301101 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25017301101 compare to Townsend overall?

Tract 25017301101 scores 6.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Townsend at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Townsend; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Townsend

Top eight tracts in Townsend ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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