Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
West Chelmsford Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 25017317202 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 4,210 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 25017317202 covers part of the West Chelmsford area of Middlesex County, MA, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,210. The severe-burden share is 47%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 65% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 0%
Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units1,333
Renter share2.4%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate0.8%
Median income$184,531
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
30
th percentile
Low
National
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middlesex County and the region
Centroid at 42.6094, -71.3741 · click any tract to drill in
Why West Chelmsford scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
0.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How West Chelmsford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 20%Racial/ethnic minority
- 4%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1Total filings over 1 yrs
- 1.32%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.3%Peak (2013)
- 1Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within West Chelmsford. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 5.7%Housing insecurity
- 3.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.5%Food insecurity
- 5.8%SNAP enrollment
- 4.3%Transit barriers
- 2.4%No health insurance
- 12.9%Frequent mental distress
- 22.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in West Chelmsford
Against Middlesex County at 43.0%, 100% of renters here are cost-burdened. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.
It sits 1.4 points below the Middlesex County average of 6.3. Food insecurity runs 5.5% against 17.8% nationally. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10.
SNAP participation runs 5.8% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1 filings here across 1 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2013 at 1.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 2% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017317202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017317202?
Census tract 25017317202 in the West Chelmsford neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017317202?
0.8% of residents in tract 25017317202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,210.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017317202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 9th, minority 20th, housing 4th.
Q4
Is tract 25017317202 considered part of West Chelmsford?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017317202 fall within West Chelmsford (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017317202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 25017317202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.32% of renter households, peaking at 1.3% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 25017317202 struggle to pay rent?
About 5.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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