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Neighborhood · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally

West Chelmsford Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 25017317301 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 3,239 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

The West Chelmsford area of Middlesex anchors census tract 25017317301, which lands at $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 39th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,940 a month against an average household income of $142,000 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 19% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.8
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 8% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,100
Renter share19.0%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate4.6%
Median income$142,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In West Chelmsford
Very High
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#216 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Low
Within state
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#1,265 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Low
National
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#76,223 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Middlesex County and the region

Centroid at 42.6292, -71.3761 · click any tract to drill in

Why West Chelmsford scores 1.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
4.6% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,940 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How West Chelmsford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
West Chelmsford risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.81.8This tracttract 317301County: 2.72.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 29Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 1.70%Avg annual filing rate
  • 2.0%Peak (2014)
  • 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 250173173012012: 3 filings (0.73/100 renter HHs)2013: 4 filings (0.98/100 renter HHs)2014: 8 filings (1.96/100 renter HHs)2015: 8 filings (1.96/100 renter HHs)2016: 6 filings (2.86/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within West Chelmsford. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in West Chelmsford

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Massachusetts eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 29 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 1.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 2.0% of renter households in 2014.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017317301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017317301?

Census tract 25017317301 in the West Chelmsford neighborhood scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017317301?

Median gross rent is $1,940/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017317301?

4.6% of residents in tract 25017317301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,239.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017317301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 85th, minority 47th, housing 61th.
Q5

Is tract 25017317301 considered part of West Chelmsford?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017317301 fall within West Chelmsford (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017317301?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 29 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017317301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.70% of renter households, peaking at 2.0% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25017317301 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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